Melbourne Srbija vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
76.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Srbija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 3
BCS
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 0
FCS
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
BCS
55%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
FCS
2 - 1
SOU
33%
24%
44%
|
15 | 68 | 53 | -4 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
CAN
2 - 1
FCS
76%
14%
11%
|
15 | 66 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
MOD
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 3
SAP
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |