FSV Motor Marienberg vs VfL Halle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
15º
30
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 3
FSV
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
7 - 0
FSV
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
3 - 2
EIN
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
FSV
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 8
VFB
17%
18%
66%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
VfL Halle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
VFL
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
5 - 2
BUD
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
VFL
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
5 - 1
LFC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
2 - 4
MAG
11%
19%
70%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | +1 |