FSV Motor Marienberg vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
65.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
15º
46
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 0
FSV
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
PLA
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VPC
5 - 3
FSV
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGD
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BWL
2 - 4
FSV
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 4
MAG
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 1
VFB
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
0 - 1
VIK
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 6
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 0
VFB
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |