FSV Motor Marienberg vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
15º
40
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 0
FSV
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 6
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 1
FSV
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 3
VFL
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 3
FSV
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
SCF
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 4
SCF
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 0
BUD
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
0 - 1
SCF
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
LFC
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |