FSV Motor Marienberg vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
15º
70
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VPC
5 - 3
FSV
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGD
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BWL
2 - 4
FSV
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
GFV
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 0
FSV
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SSV
3 - 0
PLA
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 0
SVW
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 2
PLA
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
EIL
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |