FK Rostov II vs Nart Cherkessk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2136%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
2º
19
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 53 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 52 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 46 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 43 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 43 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 37 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 17 |
17º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
AST
14%
18%
69%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 3
ROS
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 3
FOT
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SKS
1 - 2
ROS
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
RUB
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
NCH
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NCH
3 - 2
NAL
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 2
NCH
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 2
SKC
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKP
1 - 1
NCH
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |