Edelserpentin vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
15º
11º
48
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 4
KLI
30%
22%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
2 - 1
SPG
44%
22%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
6 - 1
USV
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 3
SPG
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
MAR
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
SVS
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
USV
0 - 7
STM
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
ASK
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
STM
42%
22%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STM
3 - 1
PIN
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |