Edelserpentin vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
84.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
15º
11º
56
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
4 - 0
SPG
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
RIT
4%
9%
88%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
PAR
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 5
DRA
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
SCW
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |