Edelserpentin vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
51%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
15º
11º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
SPG
84%
11%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
BAS
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
SPG
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
PAR
5%
11%
85%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | +5 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
4 - 0
SPG
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASK
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |