Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-9
Eclipse Santander vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eclipse Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
RMA
4 - 0
ECS
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 83 | 75 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
RMA
4 - 0
ECS
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
ATH
2 - 4
RMA
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |