Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Aliança AL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAR
86%
11%
3%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CSE
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | +6 |
Matches
Aliança AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 1
ASA
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CSE
1 - 1
AAL
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 3
CSA
4%
12%
84%
|
24 | 74 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AAL
0 - 0
CSE
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 1
AAL
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |