Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
CAR
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 80 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
21%
23%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
17%
75%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CSE
1 - 1
COR
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSE
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
CSE
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 0
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CSE
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |