Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
COR
14%
17%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
AAL
0 - 5
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASA
2 - 0
AAL
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 2
ASA
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +1 |