Cotinguiba vs Santa Cruz SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotinguiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 1
CEC
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CEC
0 - 1
DAC
22%
19%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
3 - 1
CEC
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CEC
4 - 0
SOC
29%
22%
49%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
2 - 0
CEC
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
2 - 0
SOC
56%
21%
24%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
3 - 1
SCS
50%
21%
28%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 3
ADB
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ADB
3 - 1
SCS
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 3
DAC
53%
21%
27%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |