Colo Colito vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
78.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo Colito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 4
CCO
24%
20%
55%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 0
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |