Castelvetro vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 0
CAS
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 4
SDT
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
CAS
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 3
URI
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 1
CAS
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
IMO
24%
26%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
VIR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
USP
39%
28%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
5 - 0
VIR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |