Castelvetro vs VF Colligiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
IMO
4 - 1
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
USD
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACS
52%
22%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VF Colligiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VFC
0 - 0
ASD
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
VFC
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VFC
0 - 3
PIA
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
VFC
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VFC
1 - 1
RIM
8%
18%
74%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +2 |