Castelvetro vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAS
72%
15%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIL
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
ASD
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
IMO
3 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 2
RIM
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |