Castelvetro vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
RIM
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RIM
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 0
FIO
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIA
26%
26%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 3
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
SPO
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |