Castelvetro vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
COR
32%
20%
48%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAS
5 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
1%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SDA
3 - 4
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
IMO
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ASD
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ACS
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 3
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +15 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
PRG
10%
24%
66%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +1 |