Castelvetro vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
EMP
5 - 0
CAS
89%
8%
2%
|
26 | 78 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
8 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
DEL
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
LEN
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 0
LEN
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |