Castelvetro vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
60.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
LEN
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
EMP
5 - 0
CAS
89%
8%
2%
|
26 | 78 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
8 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 1
IMO
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
DEL
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 1
VIG
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 3
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 3
DEL
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |