Castelvetro vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
47.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAS
5 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
1%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SDA
3 - 4
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
IMO
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USP
2 - 0
CAS
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCA
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
COR
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
IMO
3 - 3
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
URI
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MEZ
1 - 2
COR
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |