Castelvetro vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
46.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
RIM
3 - 2
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
COR
32%
20%
48%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAS
5 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
1%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COR
0 - 2
ASD
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
COR
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
PIA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
COR
32%
20%
48%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
COR
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |