Castelvetro vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
IMO
3 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
COR
33%
21%
47%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
RIM
3 - 2
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
RIM
8%
18%
74%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
5 - 0
ASD
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAN
21%
21%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COR
0 - 2
ASD
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
SPO
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |