Malilla vs C.D. Apolo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIS
2 - 6
MAL
52%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 3
SER
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HIS
3 - 0
MAL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
SBE
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RUM
1 - 1
MAL
76%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Apolo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
APO
0 - 2
SBE
10%
14%
76%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RUM
5 - 0
APO
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
APO
0 - 11
SER
6%
11%
83%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CSE
5 - 0
APO
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
APO
2 - 3
DEP
58%
18%
24%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |