Aster Itaquá U20 vs Vila Nova U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aster Itaquá U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ABR
0 - 2
FFC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ABR
4 - 1
DOU
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
ABR
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
ABR
17%
18%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
1 - 0
PAL
7%
13%
81%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | +10 |
Matches
Vila Nova U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
DOU
0 - 2
VIL
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
FFC
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
DAG
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |