Aster Brasil U20 vs Sport Recife U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aster Brasil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
4 - 0
CRU
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
10%
15%
75%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
CRU
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AME
3 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 4
INT
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEA
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |