ACFC vs Næsby BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
83.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LKB
2 - 3
ACF
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Næsby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAS
4 - 1
SKI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 4
NAS
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 0
FA2
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 5
NAS
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 2
HOL
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |