9 de Octubre vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
OCT
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
GUA
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
DEL
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ORE
2 - 1
OCT
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
UCE
0 - 0
ULC
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
BSC
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CUE
0 - 2
UCE
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
UCE
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 2
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |