9 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
5 - 1
OCT
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
4 - 1
OCT
57%
20%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1983 |
NAC
5 - 1
CRI
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1983 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |