9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
10º
5º
52
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CUN
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
CUN
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 5
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
INJ
20%
28%
53%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
3 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |