9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
51
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
OCT
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
OCT
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
1 - 1
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
4 - 1
IMB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
INJ
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |