9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
FAM
0 - 0
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
OCT
1 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
OCT
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OCT
1 - 1
PQU
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
INJ
2 - 0
OCT
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
INJ
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
SSR
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |