9 de Octubre vs San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
10º
5º
36
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CHA
31%
30%
40%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
ESA
63%
22%
14%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 0
ESA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ESA
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |