9 de Octubre vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
5 - 1
OCT
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
4 - 1
OCT
57%
20%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUN
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
CAL
2 - 0
DAN
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |