9 de Octubre vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
4 - 0
INJ
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
OCT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
2 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
CHA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
CSV
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 1
GUA
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CSV
57%
25%
17%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |