9 de Octubre vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 0
OCT
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
OCT
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
AME
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
OCT
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
OCT
5 - 1
INJ
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |