9 de Octubre vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
OCT
56%
21%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
OCT
2 - 2
EME
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
OLM
1 - 2
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OCT
0 - 1
TEC
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
OCT
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 2
OLM
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |