9 de Octubre vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
5º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
OCT
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PSC
1 - 1
OCT
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
OCT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LFC
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |