9 de Octubre vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
4 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 3
CHA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |