9 de Octubre vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
10º
5º
28
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
3 - 2
CUN
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
LFC
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
29%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
LFC
58%
25%
18%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |