9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
4 - 0
SBO
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
1 - 0
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1984 |
NAC
6 - 0
OCT
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
SBO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAC
97%
2%
1%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |