9 de Octubre vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 0
ORE
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
OCT
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
TEC
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
ORE
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 2
AUC
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EME
0 - 2
AUC
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
5 - 0
IVT
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 0
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |