9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
3º
11
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 2
9DJ
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
DPR
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
9DJ
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 2
DFR
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
9DJ
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
SLP
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
SPB
24%
27%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
GIM
68%
22%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 0
IND
31%
30%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |