9 de Julio Rafaela vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
3º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
3 - 1
9DJ
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 1
SLP
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
9DJ
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
9DJ
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
SLP
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
28%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |