9 de Julio Rafaela vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
7º
3º
9
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 21 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 12 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 11 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
9DJ
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 2
DFR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
9DJ
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
9DJ
4 - 0
DHA
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
SLP
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
3 - 0
DPR
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 3
SPB
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DHA
3 - 0
DPR
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |