9 de Julio Rafaela vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
8º
6º
36
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
9DJ
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SMA
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
9DJ
66%
23%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
9DJ
3 - 1
CEN
17%
27%
57%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 1
SOL
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
SOL
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
CDN
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 0
JAN
30%
30%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GYT
3 - 1
CDN
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
CDN
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |