Copa Verde 1/16
Global 1-4
7 de Setembro SM vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
7DE
0 - 2
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
7DE
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 0
7DE
37%
27%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
7DE
2 - 2
SIN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
7DE
3 - 1
ANA
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 1
FLU
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
CEI
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
2 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
CEI
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |