7 de Setembro SM vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2017 |
URO
2 - 0
7DE
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 1
7DE
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
7DE
3 - 2
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
7DE
0 - 0
NOV
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
7DE
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
APA
0 - 1
LUZ
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
ANA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
APA
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |